Don't miss out on tonight's play of the day backed by a full in depth analysis you can pick the play up here or pick it up in our second half package


Cardinals +118 4.5* MLB POD
These are great odds considering we have a team that has the edge on both sides, offense and defense.  I’ll explain my opinion in a second, but the only advantages that the Reds have are in its bullpen and the fact that they are home, but it does not deserve these type of odds and we will take full advantage.  The Cardinals won 6 of 8 before the break and well go up against the red hot Mat Latos, which does not worry me.  Latos posted an ERA under 2 over his last 3 starts combined but the Cardinals collectively have an OPS over 1.000 against him.  Beltran is 3-4 with3 HR, and Freese, Furcal Holliday, Jay, and Schumaker are a combined 18-38.  Meaning there will be plenty of opportunities for them to get guys on base and score runs.
 
Adam Wainwright will take the mound for the Cardinals and he’s had an up and down season and that is part of the reason we see him as an under dog here today.  However, in 107 AB the Reds are batting .187 with a .555 OPS against him.  Joey Votto is just 1-14 his worst against any pitcher he has at least 14 AB against.  Wainwright has been bit by bad luck this year as he posts an 8.59 K/9 2.54 BB/9 and 0.88HR/9  all better than Latos.  He’s been unlucky with a .333 BABIP and 67LOB% AS HIS Xfip IS 3.08 approximately 70 points lower than Latos.  Wainwright is also much more difficult to figure out than Latos considering he throws 5 pitches and 82% of Latos pitches are fastball/slider.  I see the Cardinals getting this game as Wainwright is due to have a great second half.  The Cards are 11-3 in their last 14 as a road dog and 20-8 in their last 28 with him on the mound overall as an under dog.

Where to find Freddy?