The Giants have not skipped a beat since Cabrera was suspended scoring 18 runs in their last 2 games and that's just too much for the Padres to keep up with especially going up against Ryan Vogelsong. Vogelsong is on 5 days rest in this match up and he's had a quality start in all 9 starts this year when he's on extra rest where he has posted a 2.07 ERA and went 7 innings in 7 of those starts. He also has a 2.51 ERA during day starts and he pitched a 7 inning 1 ER game vs. the Padres already this year. He'll face them in San Diego where the Padres are hitting just .217 and scoring 3.05 runs per 9 vs. RHP. Over their last 10 they are even worst with a .180 average and a 2.39 runs per 9.
Ont he flip side the Giants bats are working right now and on the road they are scoring 5.17 runs per 9 vs. LHP and 6.62 overall in their last 10. They'll face Clayton Richard who they have hit hard all year long as Richard posts a 7.64 ERA in 3 starts with a 1.75 WHIP. Richard faces a Giants team who in 161 AB against him post a .917 OPS. Richard has been good at home, but not good enough and over the last three years he posts an ERA over 5 during day starts. He'll be on just 4 days rest and not as fresh as Vogelsong going up against a hot line up I'll take my chances with the road team.
I believe the Angels are good enough to avoid a 3 game sweep with Zach Greinke on the mound. After all the Rays are 25th in OPS vs. RHP this year and 24th during day games. The Angels have not been shy of scoring runs it's been there bullpen that's screwing up, but Greinke has the talent to go the distance and over his career he's dominated the Rays as in 172 AB the Rays own a .583 OPS. Greinke looked like himself in his last start and that's a sign of things to come. Matt Moore on the other hand has been a different pitcher on 4 days rest posting a 5.12 ERA this year. This is just his 3rd road start on 4 days rest as they've been very careful with the lefty. In his previous 2 road starts he posts a 9.00 ERA in just 11 IP.
Also the Angels have eaten up pitchers with control issues and are giving up a lot of fly balls. Moore stats are in the top 10 in both 4.13 BB/9 and 38.9 %GB. The closest pitcher to those stats are Ubaldo Jiminez who they have scored 11 ER in just 11.2 IP. Overall they have faced 7 pitchers like this and those starters post a 8.41 ERA. I think the Rays are satisfied going home with a 3-1 trip to LA and I think that's what we'll get.
