Western Carolina is clearly the better team they are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a home team with a win % greater than .600. App State has not played well at home and are shooting just 41.2% from the field in their last 5 games while WCar is shooting 47.5%. App State really struggles defending the paint ranking 336th in the nation and that should be a struggle again today.
Pepp is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games while San Fran is coming off back to back games against Gonzaga and St. Mary's. I think this teams energy will be down in this game after going all out to try to beat the last two opponents. Pepperdine will have every advantage in this home game. I think they defend the three extremely well of late and that's where San Francisco is going to try to attack as they are shooting 40% of their shots from three and that usually does not translate on the road. Pepperdine is 86th in two point % defense while San Francisco is 233rd, but they are much worse on the road allowing 53% from two point range ont he road. Pepperdine will shot most of their shots inside the arch and should have the advantage on the glass and FTA in this game and I think it will get them a win.
This was close to being a POD selection as LSU comes off a huge signature win over Missouri at home. This is your classic hang over game. LSU is not good enough to rebound from that huge win at home and go on the road and get another win. Both these teams are 2-5 in conference play, but LSU relies on the 3 ball too much and MIss State can defend it at home. Miss State should dominate the paint, rebounds and FTA here. LSU is also 25-52-3 ATS in their last 80 Saturday games. I find it hard to see them get up for this game.
