Oregon State seeks revenge coming off a loss where they are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 following a SU loss. Stanford beat them the first time, but I have a feeling this game could be different as Stanford shot 56% from three at home in that game. Stanford shoots well on the season, but could struggle on the road where Oregon State is defending the perimeter (32.5%) a lot better. Oregon State is also + in FTA rebound margin and even turnovers. So I expect them to turn that around in this game. Stanford shoots just 41.1% overall from the field on the road and could have major issues scoring if they can not hit the three. Stanford is also looking ahead to their road game at Oregon on Saturday. Look ahead could be part of the reason why they are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 Thursday games.


I think this game has enough value for us. Despite losing the first game Samford is still 8-6 in conference play to Elon's 11-3. Elon shot 49.1% in the first game was +9 in turnovers and +8 FTA. Samford shot 44% themselves and in conference play the two are not that different. Elon on the road though is -5.1 FTA, -3 rebound margin while Samford is +1.8 in turnover margin at home. Over the last 5 games Samford has played much better and is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. teams win % > .600 while Elon is now 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 vs win % <.400.

Where to find Freddy?