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TCU +13

Time Stamped Release Mar 09, 2013 - 12:00 AM
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Texas is 1-9 on the road this year and they are 6 point road favorites? They beat Tech 73-57 at home and have plenty of confidence going into this match up and that's the time I like to fade a team. Tech was +6 rebounds, but -9 TO's and -6 FTA in the first match up while shooting just 37% and allowing 46.3%. I'm not shocked that they shot only 37% as they take 70% of their shots from inside the arch where Texas is a dominant force at home ranked 20th overall but allowing just 38.6%, but on the road they allow 46.8%. I think Tech will have an advantage there that will allow them to have a chance to win this game as Texas is also -2 turnovers, -.9 rebound and -10.3 FTA on the road where they only shoot 39.2% themselves. Texas just beat Baylor as a home dog and is likely looking towards the Big 12 tournament. I suspect Tech to get up for this in state rivalry game.


TCU is 1-16 in conference play with their only win coming against Kansas at home in shocking fashion as +17 dogs. Oklahoma is just 5-6 on the road and won handily in their first match up giving them plenty of confidence and opportunity to look past the Horned Frogs. Both of these teams shoot 75% of their shots from 2 and based on the home/away splits TCU has the better defense so I'm going to take that as a sign that we have value with 13 points to play with. I wouldn't be shocked if TCU pulled off another shocking win.
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