I really like the Indians here today not only are they 37-18 in their last 55 vs. the Rays at home, but they are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a RH starter who they'll face in Jeremy Hellickson. Hellickson has struggled lately with just 1 quality start in his last 7 appearances while he has posted an overall 5.59 ERA on the road. Hellickson will primarily throw a fastball and change up, but he'll face an Indians teamt hat's ranked 4th vs. the FB and 1st vs. the CH. The Indians are also 2nd in the league in OPS during day games while the Rays are ranked 29th.
The Rays will run into Zach McCallister who has been very consistent for the Indians. Rays have gone into a little bit of a slump hitting .195 and scoring 2.89 runs per 9 in their last 5 games. They also are -.72 runs per 9 overall on the road compared with the Indians at home. McCallister has a 2.16 ERA in home games this year with a 2.84 ERA during day starts. He should have the advantage as the Rays hitters have just 45 AB wtih a .561 OPS and Longoria, the Rays most dangerous hitter is in a major slump going 6-39. Cleveland is the more clutch team right now and has won 16 of their last 21 home games and lead the majors in average with 2 outs and runners in scoring position.
