We are looking to over come a heart breaking loss on our POD this afternoon as the Texans blew a 14 point lead and lost in OT to give us a 1 point ATS loss. We'll look to get some of that loss back tonight in an exciting match up between the Falcons and the Patriots.


The Patriots are getting priced here like they would be the better team on a neutral site and I'm not so sure that's possible right now despite the Patriots being 3-0 and the Falcons being 1-2. The Patriots could have lost 2 of those 3 games and were lucky to face two rookie QB's and Josh Freeman who has since been benched for a rookie. I don't need to introduce Matt Ryan to you, but he is one of the best QB's at home over his career.

Falcons are under valued here and could easily be 3-0 with heart breaking losses against the Dolphins and the Saints in the last minute. The Saints and Dolphins are both quality teams, but the Falcons can not afford to go 1-3 and lose to the Patriots here at home and I don't think they will. The Falcons are also 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games following a SU loss.