Both teams come off a bye for this game, but the Colts lost Reggie Wayne who was a significant part of this offense. Now they have to go on the road and face the NFL's best pass defense. The Texans are still leading the league in defense which is puzzling why they are sitting where they are sitting, but turnover margin has been the real issue. The Colts lead the league in fewest turnovers, but are 14th in forcing them. The Texans switched to Case Keenum and in his first start he had to go on the road in a hostile environment, but he protected the ball and made some plays down the field. 15/25 271 yards 1 TD and most importantly 0 interceptions and that was on the road against one of the best defenses in the NFL. Now he gets the Colts at home while they are still solid they can't stop the run.
Colts are ranked 26th in run defense allowing 4.5 yards per carry. Foster had 27 for 165 yards last year at home and the Texans can still run the rock while the Colts must respect the outstanding receivers on the outside in Andre Johnson and Deandre Hopkins who both had big plays at KC with catches of 42 and 35 yards while Devier Posey had a catch for 45. You can't simply stack the box against the Texans. I look for the Texans to win this game with their old style plays. Defense, running the ball and passing off play action without forcing things or turning the ball over. We get value here because the Texans have turned the ball over while the Colts have beaten the leagues 3 best teams, but Colts are more one dimensional with Trent Richardson only averaging 3 yards per carry.
