I've been fading the MAC all Bowl season with the exception of Ohio which collapsed against East Carolina in the 4th quarter, but the MAC is 0-4 and very over rated. Ball State put up huge numbers behind the duo of Sneed and Wenning, but they did a lot of it against poor teams. They faced only two other bowl teams and lost both of those games while the very over rated Northern Illinois team crushed them. They got an easy non-conference schedule and then skipped over 3 of the 4 bowl teams in the MAC while playing the 3 worst. Anyone can put up big numbers against those type of teams.

Arkansas State on the other hand faced both of SEC division champs in Missouri and Auburn in their non-conference schedule which really helped them down the stretch. They also have a senior QB in Adam Kennedy who got hot down the stretch and he's accurate and he can also run the ball. Take a look at the last time Ball State faced a rushing QB (N. Illinois). Ball State allowed 7 teams to rush for 200+ yards and 6 teams to rush over 5 ypc. The key to winning for Arkansas State is rushing the ball as they have 5.23 in their wins and 3.40 in their losses. I think in the end Arkansas State has more of a capability of stopping Wenning than Ball State can stop the running attack of Arkansas State. Arkansas State also does not beat themselves with 13 turnovers all season while Ball State was -4 in the TO margin in their losses.

Where to find Freddy?