Missouri has been a good road season this season and they plays an Ole Miss team that's not dominant in a very winnable game. My algorithms like this spot for Missouri and I do too because they have been shooting the three well on the road at 37.3% all year while Ole Miss only defends the perimeter allowing 37.3% and Missouri has been on fire of late shooting 42% in their last 5. The fact that Missouri has a +7.2 rebounding margin on the road compared to Ole Miss -1.1 spells trouble. There are no look ahead games for either team both are just trying to improve their resumes for the tournament and I think Missouri has the better odds to win.
This is a very dangerous game for Duke here with a game against their biggest rival up next in North Carolina. Boston College has done nothing all year so this is clearly their game of the year since they are not likely to be going anywhere in the post season. However, what makes them so dangerous and this a winnable game is the fact that they are going to attempt 50% of their shots from beyond the arch. If they can get good looks and get hot they can beat Duke, but they can also get blown out which is what make this a small play. Duke is clearly better than their record, but this is a dangerous game with a look ahead for a team that also relies far too much on the three ball and all it takes is for them to get cold in one game and I can see where these players good take BC lightly before there rivalry game next week.
I really don't see any difference between Minnesota and Indiana and it seems like Indiana needs the win more. Statistically it seems like Indiana is the better team and Minnesota can easily fall short in this one and I'm betting that there is a strong chance of Indiana pulling off the upset despite Minnesota's 12-2 home record.
This is tonight's top play as top 5 ranked Wichita State goes on the road to face an average Northern Iowa team. However, this is a similar spot to last year's game where Northern Iowa beat Wichita 57-52. The Shockers are 24-0 and nothing stands in their way from an undefeated regular season. This N. Iowa team though has been tough against very good opponents as they took Iowa State to OT and defeated VCU by 9 on this court.
It's clear that Northern Iowa is under achieving and have only covered 1 of their last 7 games while Wichita has covered 75% of their games on the year. The public is hammering on the Wichita and I think we see a shocking close game. Northern Iowa can take care of the ball 1.69 assist to turnover ratio at home and they are shooting 41% from beyond the arch. Statistically speaking we are getting value from Northern Iowa and I would not be shocked to see them pull off the upset here tonight.
