Indiana +126 National Champion 2% play
I think playing this now is worth the value even though the current spread would be -5.5 to -6 for Indiana in the National Championship, I believe that will get bet up to -7 or 7.5
You could also bet Indiana on the Money Line tonight at -178 and roll it over to them at -230 via Fan Duel, but that gets you around +124 and I expect depending the line to be higher. Miami has been on a great ride, but Carson Beck in my opinion did not play well and will play worse against a potential matchup with Indiana who has a far better defense than Ole Miss. He really got bailed out multiple times by poor tackling and coaching from Ole Miss, which was my concern.
Oregon could win tonight.. We already released a -3 play on Indiana to clients and I'm still confident Indiana gets it done tonight. I'm confident that Indiana has the better QB, the better coach. We saw that Indiana was the only team that looked good in the last round after extended time off. That was not by accident, but coaching. Indiana went into Eugene and won 30-20 already this year. Indiana should also have the crowd edge tonight in Atlanta. Oregon played their last game in Miami and flew back to Eugene Oregon, had to deal with all that is involved with putting their team together for next year, and now flying all the way back to hte East Coast again. We talk about this in the NFL, and I think compounding factors are not being taken into consideration for college athletes. I really think Oregon had the easiest schedule of all 4 of the final teams. Their offense really struggled vs. a good Texas Tech defense, and they were lucky that Texas Tech's offense did nothing in that game. Indiana meanwhile blew Alabama out and only had to throw the ball 16 times. Oregon's QB Dante Moore had many mistakes that he was lucky did not cost his team against Texas Tech, but he won't be able to hide them against Indiana. In the first match up he had 2 INT's and 9 carries for -27 yards.
