Army +7 -118 buy the half 4.5 % play

One of my favorite games of the year, and this game is always tight. Looking at the match up I can not justify a 14 point line move from last year's match up.  Navy was the 7 point dog last year, and they won 31-13, because of 3 intereceptions by Daily.  That just does not happen, and I expect Army to be really focus on ball security in this game.  Navy not as good at forcing the turnovers ast hey were last year, and their pass defense this year ranks 124th in success rate, while last year they ranked 32nd.  Overally Navy has the better team, but we have some similar strength of schedules, and the Commander N Chief trophy is on the line due to both teams beating AirForce by 3 this year.  Army could very easily be 9-2 instead of 6-5, and if that were the case we would be seeing a game under a field goal.  With a very low total I think it's worth buying this up to 7 points especilaly with it shaded towards moving to 7.