Wake Forest vs. Memphis in the Birmingham Bowl in Alabama, the money and ticket count is about 50-50, and the line has come down from 4.5 to 3, 3.5 mainly because the nation's second leading rusher has Darrell Henderson declared himself out to get ready for the NFL draft. I like the fact that Wake Forest had to win 2 of their last 3 games to get to a bowl game and did so as dogs on the road at NC State, and blew out Duke on the road 59-7. Overall injuries had a big impact on the disappointing season for Wake Forest, but to fight and get to a bowl game I look for them to continue that momentum into the bowl game against a Memphis team that is also dealing with losing a couple of coaches. LEAN Wake Forest +3.5
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Armed Forces Bowl
This is an interesting game, as Army travels to Fort Worth TX, and Houston won't leave their home state. HOuston without their star QB and we saw how that impacted them down the stretch. They'll also play without their best defensive player Ed Oliver, and 3 other defensive lineman as well as their DC Mark D'Onofrio who was fired after the regular season.. They gave up over 300 yards to Navy on the ground, and I expect Army should have their way in this game. Army has traveled well to Texas and usually has a very good crowd for this game. I really question Houston's motivation in this game, and Army who is one of the best at controlling the clock rank first in TOP are going up against Houston who ranks last in TOP. Houston also giving up nearly 50% on third down on the road, and over 70% TD's in the red zone. It seems like a square play, but I'm leaning Army -4.5. The Under has gotten a lot of attention from sharps, at 60.5, but Houston's explosive offense would keep me away from that, and each of the last 2 bowl games Army played in the in a game where the total points were 69 and 77.
Dollar General Bowl - Mobile, AL
We have another MAC team, and this one is favored in Buffalo going up against the Sun Belt team in Troy. I question Buffalo's motivation after blowing a 19 point lead in the MAC Title game. Meanwhile Troy's losses to Boise State, and At App State, two top 5 G5teams, and Liberty. Buffalo will have their hands full with this Troy defense that is elite ranking 24th in yards per play allowed, and have played plenty of good teams for strength of schedule with an average offensive opponent ranking 53 in Ypp offense. This is a team that beat Nebraska on the road. We do have 79% of the money and 60% of the tickets on Troy, but I have the Sun Belt as the better conference, and Troy in a favorable spot just 300 miles from their campus. One has to question how much quality practice Buffalo has been able to get in up there in Buffalo. Neal Brown, who I thought was going to get taken by one of the P5 programs is still here, and he is 2-0 SU And ATS in bowl games. LEAN Troy on the MONEY LINE
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Hawaii Bowl - IN HAWAII
LT has won 4 straight bowl games and Skip HOltz is one of the better coaches as a dog. Thus far we have 50% of the tickets on each side and 69% of the money on the sid eof Louisiana Tech. Again, I'm going to lean with the defense getting more points here, and Skip Holtz is an experienced coach who has had success in bowl games in the past and I don't see them being phased by this travel spot LEAN Louisiana Tech +1.5.
