One key of my handicapping is taking my computer ratings and which ones predict under dogs to win outright.  I take that list of 20-25 teams, and those are the games I break down in greater detail.  Here is my computer line compared to Vegas line in some of the key games for week #11.

  • Washington @ Stanford (Vegas Lines -6, My Computer -6.5) slight value to Washington.
  • Michigan @ Maryland (Vegas Line -16.5, My Computer -15.39) - Doesn't see Michigan making a change at QB.
  • Florida @ South Carolina (Vegas Line -7.5, My computer -6.6) - Florida has missed covering the spread by 14+ points in back to back weeks. 
  • Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech (Vegas Line -3, My computer -3.5) 
  • Wake Forest at Syracuse (Vegas pk, PC Wake -0.5)
  • Wyoming at Air Force (Vegas Air Force -3, PC Air Force -1.1)
  • TCU @ Oklahoma (Vegas -Oklahoma -6.5, PC- -6.9)
  • Notre Dame @ Miami (Vegas ND -3, PC ND -1.2)
  • Iowa @ Wisconsin (Vegas Wisc -12, PC -12.3)
  • Georgia @ Auburn (Vegas GA -3, PC -1.9)
  • Alabama @ Miss State (Vegas -14, PC -14.5)
  • Tennessee @ Missouri (Vegas -11, PC -7.4) 
  • Arizona State @ UCLA (UCLA -2.5, PC Asu -0.5)
  • Kentucky @ Vanderbilt (Vanderbilt -2.5, PC -0.75)
  • Michigan State @ Ohio State (OSU -15.5, PC -15.2)
  • Western Kentucky @ Marshall (Marsh -13, PC -9.25)
  • Old Dominion @ Florida International (FIU -9.5, -10.6)
  • UAB @ UTSA (UTSA -7.5, UTSA -6)
  • Oklahoma State @ Iowa State (Okl St -6.5, PC -6.7)
  • West Virginia @ Kansas State (KState -2.5, PC pk)
  • NC State @ Boston College (BC+3, PC +3.8)
  • Washington State @ Utah (Wash St -2.5, PC -2.6)
  • Florida State @ Clemson (Clemson -19, PC -20.13)
  • Boise State @Colorado State (Boise -6, PC -6.6)
  • Fresno @ Hawaii (Fresno -9.5, PC -12)








 
site design / logo © 2008 - 2025 freddywills.com