Indiana vs. Iowa Betting Preview
My systems want me to back and play on Indiana, but my heart tells me Iowa, but with the line move to +4 it makes it very difficult so I am likely passing here. Iowa since 2015 as a favorite of less than 6 points is 15-1 SU, but they lose 6 starters including two All-American’s on the OL/DL, and their starting Guard Kyler Schott is sidelined. They will have their hands filled with an aggressive Indiana defense that plays with a tremendous amount of effort and led the nation with 17 interceptions a year ago. However, Iowa does have Tyler Goodson at RB who is very under rated, and Spencer Petras was very green last year and all indications are that he matured in the offseason and we saw it late last year when he played his best games.
Indiana offensively is going to have to go against a top defense, and they are very much one dimensional ranking out side the top 100 in rushing offense. Indiana will rely on Michael Penix Jr. who is coming off ACL surgery and has to go up against a top tier defense that brings back two of the top 25 cover guys in the nation according to Pro Football Focus. Penix however put up 27, 24, and 35 points against top 50 pass defenses last year, and his road numbers are very good over his career with 16 passing TD’s and only 6 INT’s. However, he has not faced a top 50 defense on the road in his career. He also got to play last year with no fans in the building during road games, and I wonder how this game will impact him. Iowa has been very good against one dimensional teams in the past. The last 3 years they have gone 4-2 vs. teams with top 50 passing offenses, and bottom 50 running offenses, and are 3-0 at home, but all of those games were close games.
