The last 4 games in this match up have gone over the total, and we are getting a total that's about 4 points lower than where it's been in recent years. Air Force has had a couple misleading unders in their last two games. Against Michigan they were able to hold the Wolverines to 4 field goals in the red zone. Against San Diego State in a monsoon they had a 9-0 lead until the weather delay and the final was 28-24.
New Mexico had the ball for 42 minutes last week and kept high flying Tulsa off the field, but Tulsa still averaged 5 yards per carry. New Mexico always has trouble stopping Air Force's offense and should not dominate time of possession like they did a week ago. I expect both teams over 300 yards rushing and scoring in the 30's.
Also worth noting is that Air Force has faced two top 25 defenses thus far and New Mexico is ranked 61st. New Mexico's offense looks to be getting two QB's back who are probable this week which should open up their playbook. The over is 25-10 in Air Force's last 35 conference games and 7-3 in New Mexico's.
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