Eastern Mich got beat pretty bad in their last game at home against Central Michigan. I predicted Eastern MIchigan would win that game and it was a very big play for me. Now they hit the road against Western Michigan a team they have more experience than. I also expect Eastern Mich to really bounce back in a nice way going up against one of the conferences worst defenses. I also think we have a bit of value considering their last game they were sort of unlucky as Central Michigan got hot and hit 16 3's.


St. Joes is their conferences #1 2 point defense and Richmond has been a bad rebounding team all year long on the road along with FT attempts. Richmond also is hot coming off 3 SU wins and ATS wins with their last one coming against a ranked team in OT in VCU. I expect a bit of a let down here just like after the last time they beat VCU only they have less days to get over it.


I expect Utah to get revenge here tonight on Arizona. Both teams are pretty evenly matched and Arizona probably does have more talent, but Utah is one of the most efficient teams in the country on defense and offense. Arizona has already lost 3 times on the road and 2 of those losses that team was top 50 in 2 point defense. Utah is ranked #4 in 2 point defense where Arizona will attempt nearly 80% of their shots. I always like looking at that factor because it allows you to really break down a game from the perspective of where the game will be played the majority of time. Arizona does not really have any road wins to really hang their hat on and Utah has one of the best home court advantages especially with their unique elevation factor. The same advantage has translated into the NBA for the Jazz and for the Utah football programs. Utah is 38-12-1 ATS in their last 51 home games and I expect them to take this game tonight.


Boise just has great balance and a ton of experience so I'll back them here tonight against San Diego State, a younger team that has been inconsistent this year.

Where to find Freddy?


site design / logo © 2008 - 2024 freddywills.com