I really just don't see this line getting any higher so I'm going to snatch it at +6. I really think Michigan State can win this game as they are peaking at the right time. Duke is extremely young and I really worry about the week off and the increase in press. Now Coach K is an exceptional coach for those distractions, but in the end Michigan State is getting a lot of disrespect. The alleged height advantage they have is not that significant when you take into consideration that the Spartans rebound extremely well and they also alter opponents shots ranking in the top 50 in shot block%. Duke relies heavily on Jahlil Okafor and I could see him getting in foul trouble early here or at least that will be part of the strategy. Look these teams met very early in the year and Duke won by 10 points. Michigan State played their worst defensive game and still lost by 10 points. They are a much better team and their NCAA success is very impressive beating Oklahoma, Louisville, and of course Virginia to get here.


I think the experience of Wisconsin will really help them early in this game, but late Kentucky will pull away with their defensive talent here. I don't like Kentucky's lack of experience, but I think they already dealt with their moment to lose against Notre Dame and the fact that they overcame that adversity shows a lot about the mental make up of this team. I believe Kentucky should roll after a 1st half scare.

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