Indiana +3.5 for 5.5 units; We have played this Hoosier team once this week in our GOW and we successfully nailed it against Michigan as they gave the Hoosiers all they wanted. We have a 4-3 Hoosier team fighting for eligibility and a 5-2 Northwestern team coming off one of the worst mooses of the year, which we were on. Those kind of losses are hard to rebound from and a game dominated by the Wildcats and lead for 58 minutes was the toughest for this young team. They are two evenly matched teams for the most part with Indiana averaging 31 points a game with 420 yards of total offense compared to Northwestern 27 ppg and 416 ypg. Defense is similar in yards, but Northwestern has been more opportune and not allowed the points Indiana has. The biggest difference to me in this game and what makes it such a strong play is Indianaâs passing offense against Northwestern passing defense. Chapell is an NFL caliber pocket passer throwing for over 2100 yards and 17 tds/6 ints. He is even better at home throwing for almost 1400 yards 13 tds to 1 int in only 4 games. Their pass offense is 6th best in the nation against Northwestern 88th best pass defense. They have played 3 games on the road and won two by less than the number posted and were outgained at Vanderbilt. Donât be surprised to see Northwestern come out somewhat flat and fall behind early and play catch up the entire game. Indiana will not allow a 10 point 4th quarter by Northwestern to shock the Hoosiers(29-28 last year) this year and remember that as Indiana puts up 28+ points and win this game.
