I really think Miss State will pull this game out in the end. Ole MIss is a team that can really turn things around here with a win against their hated rival witch a chance for a 10 win season, but I think they are just banged up here. Bo Wallace is the key and he always plays well at home, but I just think the offense will struggle again without Treadwell. This team has been awful in the red zone as well and that's part of the reason I like the under since Miss State's red zone defense is the best in the nation holding opponents to a 35% TD percentage. Ole Miss defense is also very good at keeping teams out of the end zone holding opponents to just 38% on the season. Expect a lot of field goals in a game where there is a lot on the line. I expect a lot of conservative play calling from both coaches and in the end this game could or should be decided by a field goal. I still believe Miss State would have beaten Alabama if they had just 1 more quarter and I think Ole Miss got Alabama at the right time. Ole Miss is just 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games in November while the Under has gone 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.

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