When Southern Miss is held under 4 yards per carry this year they average just 18 points per game. This is just the third time they are facing a high quality defense that can stop the run and the pass. The prior two times they scored 10 and 16 points. This offense is known for it’s explosive stats, but they really are not as good, but we are getting a high total because their defense gave up a bunch of points in the conference championship, and Washington has scored 52 and 45 the last 2 games against two of the worst defenses in the PAC 12. The PAC 12 was absolute trash this year in defense.

Washington’s offense will struggle at times in this game as Southern Miss is ranked 40th in yards per play defense, and has played well with some power 5 transfer defensive players. Washington against top 83 yards per play defenses averaged just 19.8 points per game and they only faced 5 of those teams. How bad was the PAC 12 in defense this year? USC and Stanford were ranked 69th, and 67th in the nation in yards per play allowed. Part of that is scheduling and the PAC 12 offenses being better, but Washington does not have anything near an elite offense. They also are traveling over 2,000 miles for this game, and I think Southern Miss will play with a lot of intensity early in this game on the defensive side of the ball. We saw it in their conference championship game against an elite offense in Western Kentucky. They held them to 7 points throughout the first 27 minutes of that game, before things went south. Washington is not going to put their foot on the gas like Western Kentucky did if they have the opportunity. That’s just not their style as they rank 95th in plays per game.

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