This is a huge revenge spot for the Blue Raiders a team that has played extremely well on the road. They won at Georgia Tech in dominating fashion, while they lost to Miss St that was to be expected. This is considered one of the biggest Sun Belt rivalry games and the loser is likely eliminated from conference championship considerations. Western Kentucky has won by being dominant on defense and forcing turnovers by getting to the QB and have not won because they have a dominant offense by any means. MTSU has taken care of the ball this year (top 50 in the nation) and they are 8th in least sacked teams as Logan Kilgore has just 4 interceptions while completing 67% of his passes while being sacked just 2.02% of his drop backs.

Both teams are in the top 30 in rushing play % so I expect the clock to run most of the game making it difficult for an offense that only put up 14 points against FIU in their last game challenged to cover a 9 point spread. This offense has not been dominant and they tend to just try to limit the mistake and rely on their defense. That’s a dangerous recipe and their 109th QB sack % worries me in this game which is why I like the Blue Raiders to have a chance to win.

Where to find Freddy?