Baylor -31 2.2% Play
I donât typically play teams as road favorites this large, but it falls into one of my formula systems that is 18-5 ATS over the last 7 years. With that said I also like the fact that Baylor has not covered their first two games of the young season which has nothing to do with them slowing anything down. They ran 103 plays in their last game and really started to click in the second half when they scored 34 of their 40 points. I think that carries into this game and Rice did not at all impress me last week. Rice is 95th vs. the run this season and against Army they just were terrible on the perimeter on defense. On offense Tyler Stehling was very bad completing just 53.3% of his passes. He missed so many open guys down field and Iâm not sold on him being any good. Stehling and this offense was just 1-10 on third down. They have short rest coming back from NY while Baylor was in the state of Texas last week. This is an instate game so Baylor really does not have to travel very far for this one. It looks like their classic blow out.
