Arkansas State +8 2.2% Play

Arkansas State has looked very bad this year and they are coming off a loss to an FCS in state rival. We have seen that many times this year already haven't we? I love backing the FBS team the following week because we get tremendous line value and that's the case again here with Arkansas State as a huge home dog. Arkansas State is 0-4, but their Sun Belt season starts tonight and they have had extra time to prepare for Georgia Southern's option attack under a first year head coach. The offense actually has not looked as sharp as years past for Georgia Southern only averaging 23.5 ppg in conference play.


I love that Georgia Southern has Georgia Tech on deck. How could these kids not be looking ahead to that game especially since Arkansas State is not the threat in the Sun Belt everyone thought they would be. I also loved that Arkansas State switched to the new QB in Justice Hansen and he's throwing the ball down the field at over 10 yards per completion. That's bad news for the young and inexperienced Georgia Southern secondary. Arkansas State has a new head coach as well, but they still have defensive coordinator Joe Cauthen in his 3rd year. Cauthen typically sports an aggressive style defense and that typically is a good recipe to get run first team behind the chains at times and force them to pass. Despite struggling against a similar offense in Auburn earlier this year I think that gives them a lot of tape to go over this week prepping for Georgia Southern. Georgia Southern will have their points in this one, but I see Arkansas State scoring too.

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