This is another reason why I hope you have multiple books to shop because if you are stuck with 2.5 you'd have to buy points, but in this spot I still like the Titans to win outright. Everyone is pointing towards the Chiefs being 4-0 and how quickly people forget how lucky they have been. People will also point to the Titans playing without Jake Locker and it's the exact reasons why the public is pounding the Chiefs again today, but who is Jake Locker anyway. Ryan Fitzpatrick is certainly capable of doing everything Locker was doing if not more. His football IQ is up there and he should be able to put the Titans in a position to win today.
Luck plays a lot into betting and if you don't believe me then you were not on my Northwestern +7.5 play yesterday against Ohio State. The Chiefs have been very lucky. They have had the best average field position of any NFL team this season and it's made their offense look rather respectable. Chiefs will have issues picking up first downs today as the Titans are 6th in sack % and 5th in 3rd down conversions allowing just 32% conversions. The Titans have more offensive weapons and as good of a defense and have already put up big numbers vs. very good defenses (see Jets and Texans game). This is absurd that they are under dogs at home after starting 3-1 and I think they'll improve to 4-1 after today.
