Toledo -4 3.3* play
Toledo, home of the Glass Bowl which is one of the strongest home field advantages. I’ll take a Mac West team over a MAC East any day. Buffalo’s 30-3 win over Ohio was not as big of a blow out as there were two blown calls in that game. Toledo runs a spread offense with a great running game, and they have the weapons on the outside to give the Buffalo defense major issues on the road. Buffalo surprised me last week against Ohio, but that gives us great value in this game if they had not won 30-3 over a solid Ohio team we would be looking at a TD spread. Toledo has been able to prepare an extra 3 days for this match up and this game is as big as any all year with the hype of Buffalo coming into this game.

The question is, can Toledo's front 7 stop Branden Oliver, who has been a work horse and a dangerous back. Oliver and this offensive line has not played well on the road averaging close to a yard less in road games. He just faced Western Mich and Kent State on the road both who struggle stuffing the run. The difference between Toledo this year compared with previous years is their defense is stopping the run especially at home. Only 2 teams have rushed for more than 200 yards. One was Navy who runs a triple option that is difficult to prepare for and the other was Florida and that game was in Florida on the road.

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