St Peters is a bad match up for Iona, because they can play defense ranked 122nd in 2 point defense and 69th in 3 point defense where Iona will attempt well over 40% of their shots. St Peters is even better defending the perimeter in conference play and at home where they keep themselves in every game. Iona is just 3-6 on the road and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 following a 20+ victory which is proof that they may get a little too confident at times. They are also 15-33-3 ATS in their last 51 vs. a team with a win% less than .400. They also have Manhattan who is #1 in the MAAC up next so they are clearly peaking ahead to that game and I think they could slip up here a bit or at least get into a battle with St Peters.

St Peters is also a far better rebounding team as Iona is -9.3 rebounding on the road, they also struggle shooting from the FT line on the road at 65.5% and are 239th in 2 point defense. I just don't think a team like that travels well as a road favorite with a big game on deck. I expect this to come down to the wire as St Peters offense will actually work a bit against Iona while their defense locks down the perimeter.

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