Utah -3.5 2.2% play
Utah will win against Texas Tech today thanks to their stout defense, which ranks near the top nationally in defensive pass EPA/play and early downs EPA/play, potentially stifling the Red Raiders' pass-heavy offense led by Behren Morton. The Utes' balanced rushing attack, averaging nearly 50 run plays per game with contributions from Devon Dampier, Wayshan Parker, and NaQuari Rogers, should control the clock and exploit Texas Tech's vulnerabilities against dual-threat quarterbacks. Playing at home in Rice-Eccles Stadium with the altitude advantage in Salt Lake City will further tire out the visiting Red Raiders, allowing Utah to pull away late and cover the 3.5-point spread.
