Iowa State +1.5 3.3% play
Nobody expected Arizona STate to be here, and for Matt Campbell and Iowa State they have been working towards a conference championship for years. Arizona State lost their top and maybe only WR Jordyn Tyson, and I think that’s bad news heading into this game against Iowa State who ranks 5th against the pass. Iowa State’s defensive weakness is against hte run, but they have faced a lot of top tier rushing offenses, and the teams they have done better against are the teams that run outside zone, which is exactly what Arizona State runs. I think Iowa State’s 3-3-5 defense can set the edge and have some defensive success against the run, and overall they’ll be better in the red zone.
Iowa State’s offense has not been as good as expected. Still waiting for their rushing attack to live up to expectations, and Rocco Becht has taken a step back this year, but still they have a pair of 1,000 yard receivers in Higgns and Noel, which is a huge edge on a fast track at Jerry World going up against an Arizona State team that ranks 118th in sack rate, and 103rd in passing success rate defense. I think Iowa State has the better coach as well, and their fans likely will travel better here.
