Kansas State +1.5 4.4% play

Iowa State has not faced a single ranked team on the year, while Kansas State has faced 4.  Kansas State has not covered the last 4 match ups in the series, but this one is due.  I have seen Iowa State teams under coach Campbell get very tight in big games, and a win and they get into the Big 12 Championship.  From a yards per play perspective on offense and defense this year’s Kansas State team is better than last year’s, and for Iowa State, their team last year was better than this year, but for whatever reason Iowa State is favored here, and I just don’t see them as the better team.  They also have a huge mismatch here as Kansas State is a run first team, and rank 6th in ypc, while Iowa State’s defensive strength is vs. the pass and they have been horrible against the run ranking 111th in ypc.  Kansas State is going to win in the trenches in this game.  Klieman is 12-5 ATS as a dog as well as they pull the outright upset!