Texas AM +5.5 3.3% play

I'm not completely sold on Texas this season, and this seems like a good time to fade them on the road.  Texas gets into the playoff with a loss here likely, while the Aggies will go to SEC Championship with a win.  Texas vs. top defenses have gone 3-1, but their big wins at Michigan and against Oklahoma make sense considering both those teams have zero offense, while they went on the road and beat Vanderbilt by only 3.  I will have a tough time backing Texas in the playoff considering they are 101st in % of possessions ending in turnover, while A&M is 28th.  Texas defense has been great, but if there is a hole it is in their run defense.  The Aggies rank 38th in rushing success rate, while Texas ranks 70th.  Texas AM has also faced the tougher schedule with some of the top SEC teams and Notre Dame in non-conference.