Vanderbilt +10.5 2.2% play

 

It’s hard for Tennessee to cover double digits on the road when they only average 23 points in conference play.  Vanderbilt has some decent advantages here as they are 15th in ypc defense, 18th in defensive sack rate, while Tennessee -1.2 ypc on the road, and 105th in protecting their young freshman QB.  As good as TEnnessee’s defense is they don’t force turnovers.  The strength of this Tennessee defense is their defensive line, but I think Diego Pavia is a scrappy QB that takes care of the ball and should be able to make enough plays to keep Vanderbilt in this game, and I’m sure all of the pressure is on the Tennessee sideline as a win and they get into the CFB playoff. I really like what Clark Lea has done this year with Vanderbilt as they have been competitive even in their losses.  They lost by 3 to Missouri on the road, 3 to Texas at home, and 7 to LSU on the road at night.

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