Michigan State -125 3.5% play

Michigan State has faced the far tougher schedule in Big Ten play having to face Oregon, Ohio State  & Indiana, while Rutgers was able to avoid all three.  Rutgers already in a bowl game, and Michigan State needs to win this game to get to a bowl game, which is critical under first year head coach Jonathan Smith.  Turnovers have been an issue for Michigan STate, but over their last two games they don't have any.  It will be a cold windy day here, and Michigan State's run defense has been far better than Rutgers ranking 38th in ypc compared to 107th.  They also rank 24th in rushing success rate defense, compared to 123rd for Rutgers.  I think Smith is a very good coach, and this is a game at home he should win.