IOWA -142 3.5% PLAY

This has already dropped a couple of points in favor of Iowa due to the weather and the QB change, but the QB play has been nothing great for Iowa this season anyway.  It’s all about the rushing attack that is 13th in ypc led by Kaleb Johnson.  The strength of the Nebraska defense is their run defense, but they have only faced three teams inside the top 50 in rushing offense and they went 0-3 in those games.  Nebraska also just accomplished their goal of a bowl game last week, which is a huge sigh of relief for this staff.  Going to Iowa who has been great at home this year 3-0 SU & ATS in Big Ten play outsourcing opponents 27 ppg.  Overall they are +9 TO margin + 3 yards per carry at home.  That has to be concerning if you want to back Nebraska here.  There offense is one of the worst and although they have showed signs, I would not trust them especially on the road.  They rank 91st in % of possessions ending in a turnover, which will be a challenge against Iowa.  It will be 22 degrees, and a close game, but in the end I’ll take my chances with Iowa in this one.