Kansas State -8.5 2.2% play 

Bad match up here for Cincinnati vs. a Kansas State team that has to be angry with how they have played the last two weeks.  Cincinnati is very poor in pass defense, and that has been the differences in wins and losses for Kansas State.  In wins their QB has a 16-3 TD/INT ratio, and in losses he’s 1-6.  He will also have the option to run the ball as Cinci is 81st in defensive ypc, and 83rd in rushing success rate.  The strength of Cincinnati’s offense is the rushing attack, but that’s the strength of Kansas State’s defense where they rank 19th in ypc allowed.  In their 3 losses they have allowed 6 passing TD’s and 0 INT, and that’s just not something I see Cincinnati benign able to do here as Sorsby has not played well on the road.