BYU +3.5 3.3% PLAY
A lot of money coming in on ARizona State with the bubble burst theory for BYU, but BYU has everything left in front of them even with the loss last week to Kansas, a game we had Kansas, but got lucky as BYU was +112 yards and went 0-4 in the red zone. They were coming off their biggest rivalry game against Utah, and Kansas was just in a good spot. Arizona State now ranked for the first time after they went on the road and beat Kansas State in impressive fashion jumping out to a 24-0 lead, which was aided by turnovers, and Kansas State going just 2-5 in the red zone. I think this game is going to be an absolute battle as both teams run and play slow, and at the end of the day we are getting value on BYU who seems to be the more balanced team with the better overall #’s against a tougher schedule from a statistical perspective they are +1.1 ypp vs. opponent +0.26, compared to Arizona State +0.7 vs. -0.06. Arizona State’s pass defense which ranks 112th in success rate is a big concern even at home as their pass rush ranks 116th, and BYU has done a good job protecting their QB.
