MTSU has plenty of value here coming into the game as the forgotten team in the C-USA battle. MTSU is capable of moving the ball on this Old Dominion defense that should get pushed around quite a bit tonight and a rough time dealing with QB Austin Grammer and their 3 running backs. Grammer will run it as well which will give Old Dominion a different offense to prepare for. Old Dominion is also riding high off a victory on the road against the defending champions in Rice so a let down is very possible here.

The schedules just don't compare as MTSU has faced a solid Memphis team which nearly beat UCLA on the road, Minnesota out of the Big Ten on the road and a very good Western Kentucky team. Old Dominion is pretty one dimensional in my opinion with the passing game and Taylor Heinickie and every week there is more tape on him to help prepare. Bottom line against tougher competition MIddle Tenn has played better where it counts which is on 3rd downs and in the red zone. Old Dominion's defense can't get off the field allowing 50% conversions and 76% TD's in the red zone. Compare that with Middle Tennessee's 42% defense (38% on the road) and 43% TD rate in the red zone on defense and you have a significant advantage. This is a big conference game and I'll lean on experience as Old Dominion suffers a let down here after their big victory over Rice.


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