USC +4 2.2% PLAY

Penn State certainly has the better numbers and there is reason to believe they can just do what Michigan and MInnesota did against USC, but I think USC playing as a dog is a different situation here, and Penn State to me until proven otherwise are the same team as seasons past.  They are bullies and pad stats against weaker competition, but when they step it up they typically fail.  Now USC's numbers don't look even close to recent years, but they are still moving the ball on offense under Lincoln Riley rankign 15th in success rate.  Whenever Penn State has to play a top offense they typically struggle losing to Michigan /Ohio State every year.  They lost to Ole Miss in their bowl game last year.  This is a rough trip across the country, and USC is the healthier team, and even if Penn State gets a lead the back door could be wide open, but I think USC will be live to pull the upset.