Memphis / Iowa State Over 57 3.3% play 

Both teams have opt outs/injuries in the secondary that will really hurt their defense. For Iowa State they lose an NFL Corner in TJ Tampa, and their starting Safety Malik Verdon, and Memphis pass first offense, which will have a full compliment of weapons and a very experienced Seth Hanigan should have no problem putting up points on Iowa State in the LIberty Bowl, a place they are very familiar with

Memphis defense is already suspect, and they too have issues in the secondary with 3 guys missing this game including starting S CAmeron Smith, a big blow to this defense.  I expect Iowa State to really play free and they are the #1 explosive offense and really showed down the stretch what this offense can look like next year.