Georgia Southern -3 3.3% play

I think there is some value here with Georgia Southern after they finished the year 0-4 straight up and ATS they come limping into the bowl game, but Georgia Southern had nothing to play for their last 4 games, and play in a far better conference in the SUn Belt than the MAC.  Ohio has been hit very hard by the transfer portal as well with their top 2 QB, RB, and WR and best LB all missing this game.  They'll be down to their 3rd string QB, and I think they'll face a Georgia Soutehrn team that is fully focused.  Ohios defense has been great ranking 12th in ypp allowed, but they have faced an average 97th ranked ypp offense.  Their SR defense ranks 6th, but they have faced an average 100.5 SR offense here they face #37, which is by far the best offense.  Georgia Southern actually ranks top 50 in passing and rushign SR.  Against the only 3 top 90 SR offenses Ohio went 1-2.

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