Arkansas -2 3.3% play
Arkansas seemed to have found something in their bye and with the new OC. It was a 5.5% max play winner a week ago, and this team needs to win out to get to a bowl game. Raheim SAnders is as healthy as he has been all year, and had 18 carries for 103 yards against Florida. He makes KJ Jefferson better, and Jefferson is a guy I have a ton more trust in than the Auburn QB’s particularly on the road.
When you look at Arkansas' schedule it has been brutal. So much that this is only their 2nd home game in the SEC. Their road games at Florida, Alabama, Ole Miss, LSU< and A&M on neutral has to be one of the toughest schedules this season. Auburn meanwhile had road games against Cal and Vanderbilt. I look for Arkansas to try to avenge their only SEC home loss and continue the momentum. Auburn’s 5 wins have come against opposing defense that rank on average 110th (ypp + success rate), and their 4 losses have come against an average defense ranking 50.5, and that includes LSU who is outside the top 100 in both categories. Arkansas ranks 60th in ypp, and 38th in success rate. They have a major advantage on their defensive line, while Auburn ranks 117th in sack % allowed, Arkansas is 5th at sack %. A very bad combination to have on the road against a hungry Razorback team.
