Cincinnati +7.5 5.5% NCAAF POD
Oklahoma State has been a dog in their last 4 games pulling the outright upset in their last 3, by running the ball, and forcing turnovers. That has been the difference, meanwhile Cinci is -5 TO margin over their last 3 games, but on the season they actually rank 45th in % of possessions ending in a turnover. Their run defense has also been excellent ranking 10th in rushing success rate allowed, and 19th in ypc allowed so they should be able to hold Oklahoma State in check on the ground game, and Oklahoma STate has not proven they can pass the ball ranking 92nd in passing success rate, 102nd in QB rating. Overall I see two similar teams. I think Cincinnati is going to be able to run the ball better than Oklahoma State as they have the better #’s overall fur rushing offense and rushing defense and that will be key going into this game. Cinci is desperate for a win, Oklahoma State is not supposed to be where they are currently, and have Oklahoma on deck so I see them just getting out with a win by less than a TD.
