Old Dominion +21 3.3% play

Old Dominion should ride the momentum from last week as they upset App State as a 6 point home dog, a game we gave out.  I don’t sense a let down as they had a bye the week before and they have been playing like this all season long.  James Madison ranked in the top 25 for the first time is not warranted in my opinion when you factor in they have been fortunate winning several of their games by single digits.

James Madison is a run first offense and that’s the strength of this Old Dominion defense which ranks 21st in ypc defense, 1st in success rate defense.  On the flip side James Madison has not faced many quality rushing attacks this season while they rank 1st in ypc defense they have faced an average opponent ranking 80th.  Old Dominion ranks 18th in rushing ypc, and I think they will be able to move the ball on James Madison in this one.  James Madison since last season has faced 7 top 50 run defenses and have gone 5-2, but only 2 games have been a victory by double digits, and they were +4 to margin in those.  Old Dominion has taken good care of the ball and I believe they will do the same in this game.