Wisconsin -130 2.5% play
A bit of a cheap price here on Wisconsin following their loss as a double digit favorite vs. Iowa. A game that saw them lose their starting QB Tanner Mordecai who will be out in this game again. I thought Braedyn Locke stepped up well enough in a tough spot vs. a top 10 defense. He gets to go on the road here and take some of the pressure off against an Illinois defense that ranks 108th in success rate defense. I think with Mordecai going out it gives Wisconsin the ability to go back to what they are great at which is running the ball. Illinois ranks 99th in success rate defense, and 96th in passing success defense.
Illinois came off a huge win over Maryland as a dog, but I'm not putting too much stock into that when you factor in Maryland was off an emotional loss against Ohio State which was a bit of a dream crushing loss. I also think Wisconsin players rally behind the backup QB, and this is a major revenge spot as a much better Illinois team went in and beat Wisconsin 34-10 on the road to give Brett Bielma his win against the team that fired him. Wisconsin fired Paul Chryst after that game, and I think the players look to get revenge here and they will against a very bad Illinois team.
