Army / Troy Under 43 2.2% play

Neither team is great in the red zone on offense, and better in red zone defense so I expect a fair amount of field goals.  Army has been involved in some higher totals the last few games, but they faced mobile QB’s from BC and Syracuse who combined for 192 yards on 41 carries.  Troy’s Gunnar Watson is not at all a running QB so the Army defense will get to take that threat out of the game plan, which should help a bunch.  It’s also going to be a bit rainy and windy, which also should help this go under the total.

Army 131st in pace, and run the ball a ton, while Troy’s defense is among the best in explosive plays allowed.  They also faced this Army team last year they rank 23rd in rushing success defense.  Troy’s offense can be explosive at times, but Army ranks 40th in explosive plays allowed, and Troy also 91st in pace so expecting this to be a game of limited possessions with some familiarity from last year.