LSU -4 3.3% PLAY
I’m really not buying into this MIssouri team right now. Their offense is not balanced despite ranking 21st in yards per play their average opponent ypp defense ranks 89th, and they rank 88th in rushing ypc, and while LSU’s defense has struggled it has come against teams that are top 50 in passing and rushing, and have a QB that can run. Brady Cook has only 37 rushing yards on 35 carries. I think LSU can bounce back here and I trust Brian Kelly off a loss, and he’s clearly the better coach here.
I think Missouri is taking money with this line coming down, because the idea that LSU suffered a dream crushing loss last week, and their playoff hopes are done, but I think Kelly can sell to his team that if they run the table they can not only get into the SEC Championship, but the playoff if they win out. They have a game at Alabama, and Texas A&M at home to wrap up the season. The playoffs are very much still a thing for this LSU team in my opinion. LSU’s offense is elite, and nothing Missouri has faced comes close. Kansas State, and Memphis the only two teams who have top 60 passing and rushing offense, but neither have a mobile QB, and neither featured a top 20 unit while LSU is top 20 in both, and 4th in success rate overall. LSU’s defense has struggled allowing explosive plays ranking 124th, but Missouri’s offense ranks just 92nd in explosive offense.
