Ole Miss +3 -115 2.5% play
LSU is a big play for a lot of folks this week, but I don’t understand it. First of all the home team is 8-2 straight up and 9-1 ATS in the series. Ole Miss came off the game against Alabama where they did not cover, but LSU missed covering the spread a week ago by 2 TD’s. I just don’t understand how a team is favored on the road in the SEC with the 70th ranked run defense, 104th ranked QB defense, 119th ranked 3rd down defense, and 102nd ranked success rate defense. Ole Miss on the flip side is a top 50 offense and defense and they have faced a tougher schedule statistically. LSU ranks 81st in protecting their QB and heads on the road to face an Ole Miss defensive line that is elite and ranks 26th in getting to the QB. I think this line is a bit of an over reaction as many were on Ole Miss a week ago. Ole Miss also +1.6 ypp differential on the year compared to Florida State who LSU lost to is +1.2 vs. -0.25. I’m not saying Ole Miss > than FSU, but I think they are getting disrespected with this line here.
