Auburn +9 3.3% play
I know Auburn is a bit banged up, but that is why this spread is getting up above 8 points. They’ll have their QB’s who both offer different strengths with Thorne and Ashford. I think Auburn is a difficult team to defend and I think this number is too large, while Auburn has played well, and are stout on defense. I think the Aggies could struggle in what should be a one possession game, which has been historically the way Jimbo likes to coach. Hugh Freeze is a great coach as a dog including 16-6 ATS as an away dog, and I think that will continue at Auburn. We don’t really know much about Auburn as they brought in a lot of transfers, and have yet to show their identity other than the fact that they are a run first team still. Their stats are better against similar competition and I can’t help but think Hugh Freeze has saved a little something for his return to the SEC.
A lot of experts are discounting Auburn’s struggles against Cal, but they did win the game, while A&M gave up 48 points in a loss to Miami. Why aren’t we making a big deal about that loss? Cal has looked very good early on and their statistical profile is actually similar to Miami. I am just not so sure how good of a coach Jimbo Fisher is at this point and he is surely not one to get margin in a game. We hear the hype around A&M every year, and every year they disappoint. Bobby Petrino has taken over the offense, which is a good thing for the Aggies, but this is a big test against a defense that has been solid ranking 10th in QB rating defense, 20th in ypp defense.
