Kansas / Illinois Over 56.5 2.2% play

Illinois brought over Altmyer from Ole Miss, and he adds a new dynamic to the Illinois offense that we did not see last year.  In his first game he showed he is a threat to run the ball.  Illinois offense should be more balanced this year, and they'll go up agaisnt one of the worst defenses a season ago in Kansas who was 121st in EPA run defense, and 125th in stuff rate.  Illinois should be able to be ahead of the chains all night long behind the strength of the line led by 2 NFL caliber lineman.

The defense lost 3 NFL players in the secondary and their defnesive coordinator.  We saw Tulane put up 400+ yards on this defense that was elite last year.  I don't think the market has made enough of an adjustment yet and Kansas offense was #3 in explosive plays, #1 in EPA/play and Jalon Daniels returns and I think we should see some points on Friday night.