Akron -4 2.2* Play

I'll take Akron the fact they are road favorites by this much says a lot about Buffalo. Akron really was not as bad as last week's loss to Bowling Green. There was some tough weather that really limited what this team could do and I think they'll be a lot more agressive here tonight agaisnt Buffalo. Akron's offense have faced 3 tough defensive units in a row and now they'll face Buffalo, a team ranked 119th in yards per play allowed, Akron is ranked 40th and have shut down some pretty good offenses along the way (Penn State/Pitt). Terry Bowden was supposed to take this team to a MAC East title, but he can still get to a bowl game and it starts tonight with two winnable games on deck.

Toledo +185 2* play

I'll take Toledo + the points here as we are getting some extra value due to the fact that their QB Logan Woodside is a game time decision. I think it won't matter with this team, and I think they match up agaisnt Northern Illinois really well this year with the best defensive line in the league. All of their conference stats are better than Northern Illinois, a team we bet on last week which had a big win on the road against Ball State, but this team has struggled at home and they are not the same defense as years past and their QB on the otherside in Drew Hare is not as good as prior QB's and I think Toledo finally gets past this team.

Do not sell Toledo's back up QB short. If given a shot Michael Julian, a redshirt freshmen has been waiting and he turned down some major conference offers from teams including Arizona, clemson and Wisconsin. The running game is what fuels this team and Northern Illinois is allowing 4.81 yards per carry in conference play while Toledo is allowing 3.99. Both have 3 common opponents and Toledo has an average MOV of 11.8 while Northern Illinois is 2-1 with a 0 point margin of victory. Take Toledo to pull the shocker here tonight.

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